Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 15.906955 18.468745 21.251084 24.489723 28.147807 32.143394 36.829437
2025-08-10 11.239504 14.659734 18.748392 23.958773 30.380637 37.992677 47.649843
2025-08-17 8.466563 12.136682 16.873727 23.352227 31.885386 42.634250 57.074405
2025-08-24 6.593669 10.262189 15.319790 22.660824 32.875469 46.393421 65.403320
2025-08-31 5.153370 8.655877 13.785078 21.639598 33.112501 48.963033 72.147507
2025-09-07 4.443294 7.969873 13.407009 22.115838 35.357967 54.306959 82.918367
2025-09-14 3.861828 7.368397 13.040076 22.507609 37.437731 59.486512 93.732289
2025-09-21 3.243531 6.587986 12.263584 22.132712 38.260626 62.816063 102.002792
2025-09-28 2.704572 5.845055 11.432111 21.540164 38.632836 65.422251 109.279524
2025-10-05 2.576696 5.840155 11.858098 23.075096 42.531753 73.685515 125.651181
2025-10-12 2.411221 5.731484 12.076091 24.253541 45.906531 81.302269 141.416651
2025-10-19 2.184822 5.458686 11.950338 24.791324 48.209317 87.301786 154.910241
2025-10-26 1.903309 5.045240 11.552461 24.884195 49.917685 92.723241 168.298478
2025-11-02 1.597682 4.521941 10.874307 24.393298 50.585972 96.532804 179.443679
2025-11-09 1.332313 4.031651 10.184657 23.785393 50.963251 99.844832 189.941255
2025-11-16 1.104836 3.578766 9.497911 23.084267 51.071263 102.650682 199.693146
2025-11-23 0.894712 3.115267 8.705166 22.046707 50.399316 103.964245 206.855623
2025-11-30 0.804948 2.965414 8.621790 22.530735 52.794550 111.045128 224.685030
2025-12-07 0.721686 2.813583 8.508329 22.928869 55.036898 117.964427 242.580272
2025-12-14 0.613884 2.555231 8.081337 22.547892 55.602326 121.704418 254.800513
2025-12-21 0.513638 2.290698 7.589855 21.945703 55.625019 124.368339 265.122363
2025-12-28 0.504314 2.340982 7.966170 23.505537 60.510123 136.914694 294.831430
2026-01-04 0.481672 2.337152 8.189158 24.702950 64.670712 148.226000 322.678454